DC and VCS

I've only seen a fraction of the VCS guns out there, but "typical" configurations are probably modeled after the big / influential VCS bots, like Raiko, PEZ's bots, FloodMini, maybe even Dookious.

I guess maybe this question is for other people, since if you're looking at Diamond, you already know what I think about what attributes are best. =) But no shame in starting with a Diamond-inspired configuration and trying to improve from there. I certainly took guidance from Raiko and CassiusClay, and I also keep my eye on what brainiacs like Rednaxela and Skilgannon are doing.

I think a more difficult task is modeling data decay in KNN surf stats. Whenever you get hit, it means that your existing data is inaccurate. (If it were accurate, you wouldn't have been hit.) Where you got hit is the peak in that segment of his gun, so it needs to out-rank the other data points in that segment of your stats, but you have no segments so you can't just use rolling average. I think tuning this aspect of your KNN surf stats is at least as important as getting the attributes just right.

DrussGT uses a "bullets shot" classifier to give higher weight to newer data and works somewhat like data decay. It makes k-NN search extrapolate a bit, but still helps increase the score against learning opponents.

IMHO, the advantage of VCS over DC is CPU performance. But VCS compresses data into bins and some information is lost, while in DC it isn´t. So, well tuned DC should perform better than well tuned VCS, unless you start skipping turns.

It's worth noting that in movement, you have far less data, so CPU speed is less of an issue. Until you get into flatteners, and even then maybe virtual wave flatteners (which are rare), DC surfing could probably do fine without even using kd-trees. Precise prediction far outweighs information management, I think.

And yes, having a dimension that is pure linear time is certainly one of the simpler approaches to KNN data decay... ;)

What I was actually doing in my gun was having a non-linear time dimension, and it worked out a lot better than straight linear. I think I ended up with 1.2*T^(0.4) or so, instead of 0.005*T. Those weights were genetically evolved with my WaveSim-ish setup.

It makes sense that at the beginning you want your data to decay faster than towards the end...

I've generally considered the time dimension a pretty blunt/naive approach (I think I used it in Lukious), but I've been mulling it for the last hour and now I'm thinking it's actually pretty reasonable. I might even tinker with it some in Diamond (especially now that I have your secret formula, muahahaha!).

I know I've posted it elsewhere, but the main system I use in decaying Diamond's surf stats is like this:

• No time dimension, but each data point is timestamped.
• After choosing k neighbors, sort them inverse chronologically and weight them by rank. (Eg, 16/8/4/2/1.)
• Optionally (like in flattener), I also cap the size of the log and remove the oldest points.

Tuning k is like adjusting the granularity of a VCS buffer: k=1 is like a super highly segmented buffer (most similar situation wins, regardless of age), while a larger k is like a less segmented buffer with rolling average.

While I've tried this in my Anti-Surfer gun, too, the most effective decay I've found there is just capping the size of the log and discarding old points.

FYI, was random page surfing for like 2 minutes and came across a previous discussion about KNN data decay, if anyone's interested: Talk:DrussGT#Head-to-head_27.